Shot Caller (2017)
7/10
Fun to watch... don't think about the plot too much
14 April 2022
Warning: Spoilers
I enjoyed watching this movie. But...

*** SPOILERS ***

Money's "plan" for saving his family was incredibly stupid!!! It had a very high likelihood of failing, which meant a very high likelihood of his family being slaughtered by gang members.

In movies like Oceans 11, there are always way too many things that have to ALL go just right, for the whole thing to come together. That was the case for Money's plan also, except if his plan didn't all go exactly right, his wife and son were going to be killed!!

Let's do some math. And I'm being very generous in these percentages.

Chance of smuggling a razor blade into a high security prison: 70% (assuming he had some magic way of getting past metal detectors, etc.) Chance of his family not being killed while we was waiting to get put back into prison with the beast: 90% Chance of being taken to the beast after going back to prison: 90% Chance of getting the handcuffs off, subduing the guard, and being able to open the beast's cage: 40% (probably lower) Chance of winning the fight with the beast: 70% Chance of not getting killed by the cops at the gun bust: 90% Etc. Etc.

There are more things that had to go just right for the plan to come together, but if we do the math with just these items, his chance of success was: 70% x 90% x 40% x 70% x 90% = 15.9% chance of success

NOT GOOD!!

If he had just gone along with the mission, everything would have been fine. Sure, he would have been stuck in the "brotherhood", always worried about the next mission, and never able to go back to his regular life. But he couldn't exactly go back to his regular life stuck back in prison with a life sentence! And by sticking with the mission his family would have had a 100% chance of not being brutally murdered!
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